--- title: "Ignite case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ignite ($8.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 98.10% over 138 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Ignite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Ignite A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=all) Price · $8.00 · 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $7.20 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.10% · 138 openings, odds method Variance · 24.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 19 openings · below min 7 days · 91 openings · below min 30 days · 138 openings · below min since tracking started · 138 openings · below min 15.0% 340.0% 665.0% **Small sample.** 138 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=24h) | 19 | 442.24% ±222.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=7d) | 91 | 139.57% ±101.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60) | 138 | 98.10% ±82.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60?window=all) | 138 | 98.10% ±82.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 138 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $183 183 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $113 113 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $59.00 59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $16.14 16.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 90.0% | $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 126 | 124.2 | 1.01× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=60`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN 62.50x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=60) [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN 62.50x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $113 113 CSGOBIG\_COIN 14.13x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.14 16.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.02x 2026-11-11 02:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 20:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 20:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 20:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.00 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.5% restricted 0.5% covert 7.5% classified 1.5% mil spec 90.0% best hit $500 (62.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt