---
title: "RGB case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RGB ($54.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 3 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [RGB](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · RGB

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=all)

Price · $54.00 · 54 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $48.59 from 3 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $470 470 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 48.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $220 220 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 90.0% | $15.66 15.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=61`, 12 Nov, 01:41 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=61)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $54.00 | 89.99% | 3 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 10.0% mil spec 90.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt