---
title: "Gleam case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gleam ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 34.33% over 18 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Gleam](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Gleam

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=all)

Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 34.33% · 18 openings, odds method

Variance · 93.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 14 openings · below min

30 days · 18 openings · below min

since tracking started · 18 openings · below min

-0.5% 272.3% 545.0%

**Small sample.** 18 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=7d) | 14 | 37.07% ±507.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62) | 18 | 34.33% ±447.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/62?window=all) | 18 | 34.33% ±447.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,080 6,080 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $113 113 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $89.00 89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 25.0% | $8.10 8.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 30.0% | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=62`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=62)

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [PepaRambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PepaRambo) $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $37.00 37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-07 16:59 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 13:49 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-07 13:49 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 13:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.6% gold 0.9% Ancient 2.5% red 5.0% restricted 25.0% Mil Spec Grade 30.0% Rare 30.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
