--- title: "Squire case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Squire ($16.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 5 items with odds, observed 38.13% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Squire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Squire A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=all) Price · $16.00 · 16 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $14.40 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 38.13% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 298.5% 597.5% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=24h) | 1 | 38.13% ±558.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=7d) | 1 | 38.13% ±558.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66) | 1 | 38.13% ±558.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/66?window=all) | 1 | 38.13% ±558.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 14.9% | $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 77.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 25.0% | $6.10 6.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-factory-new) | 35.0% | $0.56 0.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=66`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=66) [AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) Hidden $16.00 16 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.10 6.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $16.00 | 89.99% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 0.1% covert 14.9% restricted 25.0% milspec 25.0% mil spec 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt