--- title: "Stoicism case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Stoicism ($19.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 148.20% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Stoicism](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Stoicism A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=all) Price · $19.00 · 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $17.10 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 148.20% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min 12.5% 148.3% 284.0% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=7d) | 15 | 148.20% ±135.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68) | 15 | 148.20% ±135.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/68?window=all) | 15 | 148.20% ±135.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $480 480 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $98.00 98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.9% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 10.0% | $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.7% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 10.0% | $25.40 25.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $6.32 6.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 60.0% | $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=68`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=68) [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $98.00 98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.16x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.68x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $98.00 98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.16x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [MyNameIsJeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/MyNameIsJeff) $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.32 6.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.00 19 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.00 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% restricted 10.0% classified 15.0% Legendary 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt