--- title: "Tranquil case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tranquil ($5.80) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 49.89% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Tranquil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Tranquil A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=all) Price · $5.80 · 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5.22 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.89% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 240.0% 480.5% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=24h) | 1 | 92.24% ±387.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=7d) | 15 | 49.89% ±100.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69) | 15 | 49.89% ±100.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/69?window=all) | 15 | 49.89% ±100.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $104 104 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 19.0% | $11.50 11.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 41.9% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.35 5.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.6% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) | 55.0% | $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=69`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=69) [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.35 5.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.92x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.35 5.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.92x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) [Momir2551](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Momir2551) $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 17:39 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.35 5.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.92x 2026-11-08 04:39 UTC [Sticker | Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) Hidden $5.80 5.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-06 09:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.80 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 20.0% violet 25.0% #4b69ff 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt