--- title: "Bloodbath case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloodbath ($10.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 109.63% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bloodbath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bloodbath A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=all) Price · $10.00 · 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.00 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.63% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 110.3% 221.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=24h) | 6 | 93.12% ±127.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=7d) | 30 | 109.63% ±56.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7) | 30 | 109.63% ±56.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/7?window=all) | 30 | 109.63% ±56.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $31.43 31.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $22.09 22.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.5% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $9.91 9.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Chaos Marine (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chaos-marine-foil) | 1 in 18 | $9.87 9.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $5.03 5.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Malachite (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $3.11 3.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× | | [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Foil) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-foil-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 25 | $2.51 2.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.51× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Koi (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-koi-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $2.32 2.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Negev \| Bratatat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Allure (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-allure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $0.72 0.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [M249 \| System Lock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.20× | | [Negev \| Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Noble Steed sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noble-steed) | 1 in 20 | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× | | [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) | 10.2% | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=7`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=7) [UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.11 3.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.09 22.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.21x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [Sticker | Team Spirit (Foil) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-foil-stockholm-2021) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.51 2.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 01:30 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.09 22.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.21x 2026-11-11 01:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) [Wen1010](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Wen1010) $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:30 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-electric-hive-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 8.50x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $31.43 31.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.14x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC [Sticker | Noble Steed sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noble-steed) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 09:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 12.5% restricted 14.2% industrial 13.1% Legendary 5.7% pink 6.3% #8847FF 2.9% #4b69ff 13.6% #D32CE6 4.0% Mythical 3.4% mil spec 0.6% Mil Spec Grade 8.5% #4B69FF 5.1% consumer 10.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt