--- title: "Blossom case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blossom ($11.72) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 122.01% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70 rendered: 2026-11-12T02:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Blossom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Blossom A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=all) Price · $11.72 · 11.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $10.55 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 122.01% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 132.8% 266.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=7d) | 4 | 122.01% ±143.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70) | 4 | 122.01% ±143.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/70?window=all) | 4 | 122.01% ±143.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $52.00 52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 37.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MP7 \| Teal Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 35.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $10.38 10.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [SG 553 \| Desert Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-desert-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) | 70.0% | $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.9% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=70`, 12 Nov, 01:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=70) [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) Hidden $11.72 11.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-05 03:19 UTC [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) Hidden $11.72 11.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-05 03:19 UTC [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) Hidden $11.72 11.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-05 03:19 UTC [MP7 | Teal Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-factory-new) Hidden $11.72 11.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.27x 2026-11-05 03:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.72 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 7.5% #4b69ff 15.0% industrial 7.5% consumer 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt