--- title: "Covert Operations case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Covert Operations ($70.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Covert Operations](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Covert Operations A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=all) Price · $70.00 · 70 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $63.00 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/73?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $805 805 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $323 323 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $111 111 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $70.00 70 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-cobra-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $54.26 54.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 10.4% | $53.68 53.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $40.52 40.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $36.01 36.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $34.21 34.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $27.87 27.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $25.31 25.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $11.31 11.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $3.71 3.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.86 0.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.21 0.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 154 | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=73`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=73) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $70.00 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 32.7% Classified 8.4% Ancient 10.4% classified 14.9% milspec 7.8% restricted 13.6% #4b69ff 3.9% industrial 4.5% consumer 1.3% Common 2.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt