---
title: "Cyberpunk Uprising case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cyberpunk Uprising ($14.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 18 items with odds, observed 76.71% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cyberpunk Uprising](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cyberpunk Uprising

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=all)

Price · $14.00 · 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $12.60 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.71% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 118.5% 237.5%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=24h) | 2 | 76.71% ±160.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=7d) | 2 | 76.71% ±160.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74) | 2 | 76.71% ±160.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/74?window=all) | 2 | 76.71% ±160.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $126 126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $44.94 44.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $37.03 37.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $19.70 19.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| disco doplan (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-disco-doplan-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 19 | $19.51 19.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $16.55 16.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $11.43 11.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $9.22 9.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $7.48 7.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.76 5.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $5.22 5.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) | 10.3% | $5.12 5.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Neon Ply (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-neon-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $4.93 4.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $2.19 2.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=74`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=74)

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.55 16.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.18x 2026-11-11 09:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-neon-ply-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.93 4.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.35x 2026-11-11 09:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.00 | 90.01% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.9% classified 7.1% #eb4b4b 4.5% #D32CE6 5.2% #4B69FF 8.4% pink 5.8% #8847ff 12.3% Mil Spec Grade 18.1% Rare 6.5% Mil Spec 9.1% industrial 2.6% #B0C3D9 3.2% Common 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt