---
title: "Wild West Showdown case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Wild West Showdown ($42.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 15 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Wild West Showdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Wild West Showdown

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=all)

Price · $42.00 · 42 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $37.80 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/77?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $130 130 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $51.02 51.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $48.39 48.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 11.3% | $40.02 40.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $36.40 36.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $26.00 26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) | 12.3% | $23.99 23.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 13.2% | $15.46 15.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-rubble-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $14.72 14.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 10.4% | $10.50 10.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Storm (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=77`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=77)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $42.00 | 90.00% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Classified 1.0% gold 9.4% covert 23.6% classified 6.6% industrial 8.5% Mil Spec Grade 12.3% Legendary 13.2% Mil Spec 5.7% #d32ee6 10.4% Rare 1.9% #4b69ff 3.8% Consumer Grade 0.9% consumer 2.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
