--- title: "Urban Legends case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Urban Legends ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.61% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Urban Legends](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Urban Legends A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=all) Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $90.00 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.61% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 54.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 11 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 132.0% 264.5% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=7d) | 11 | 94.37% ±169.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80) | 15 | 85.61% ±145.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/80?window=all) | 15 | 85.61% ±145.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,888 8,888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $203 203 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $182 182 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil-2) | 11.1% | $132 132 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $130 130 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $126 126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $101 101 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $90.05 90.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 10.4% | $82.84 82.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.55× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $31.15 31.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $27.50 27.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $17.94 17.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [2020 RMR Legends other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-rmr-legends) | 1 in 13 | $2.99 2.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× | | [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [M249 \| Submerged (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-submerged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× | | [G3SG1 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=80`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=80) [M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $82.84 82.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [2020 RMR Legends other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-rmr-legends) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.99 2.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-submerged-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-field-tested) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $101 101 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.01x 2026-11-08 13:49 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $203 203 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.03x 2026-11-08 13:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $82.84 82.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-08 13:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.60x 2026-11-07 10:50 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $90.05 90.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.90x 2026-11-07 10:50 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil-2) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $132 132 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.32x 2026-11-07 10:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.1% extraordinary 23.5% covert 17.6% #B0C3D9 18.9% Covert 9.8% red 10.4% #4b69ff 4.6% Common 8.5% consumer 6.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt