---
title: "Viking Valor case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Viking Valor ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 101.19% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Viking Valor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Viking Valor

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=all)

Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.19% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 127.8% 256.0%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=7d) | 3 | 116.50% ±138.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82) | 4 | 101.19% ±120.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/82?window=all) | 4 | 101.19% ±120.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-battle-scarred) | 11.1% | $56.66 56.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $27.95 27.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $24.00 24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Brass (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $23.88 23.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $21.22 21.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $17.90 17.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $14.83 14.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $12.03 12.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $11.05 11.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $9.10 9.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $7.32 7.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $2.10 2.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-battle-scarred) | 10.4% | $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Ops (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Spruce (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=82`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=82)

[SCAR-20 | Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $56.66 56.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.83x 2026-11-07 13:49 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 13:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.03 12.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.60x 2026-11-07 13:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.1% mil spec 15.0% covert 12.4% #4B69FF 15.0% restricted 35.9% Uncommon 2.6% Rare 10.4% #4b69ff 4.6% #5E98D9 0.7% consumer 1.3% Common 2.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt