---
title: "Neon Nights case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Neon Nights ($27.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Neon Nights](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Neon Nights

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=all)

Price · $27.00 · 27 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.30 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/85?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $540 540 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $52.13 52.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $43.79 43.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $42.06 42.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 10.4% | $37.03 37.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $31.19 31.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $27.61 27.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 11.0% | $24.45 24.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $11.16 11.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $10.60 10.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $10.14 10.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $7.90 7.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $6.77 6.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $2.37 2.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $1.42 1.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Colony (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-well-worn) | 1 in 153 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-urban-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=85`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=85)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $27.00 | 90.00% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 57.8% classified 10.4% red 2.6% Ancient 5.8% #d32ee6 4.5% Restricted 6.5% blue 8.4% consumer 3.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt