--- title: "Steampunk Revolution case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Steampunk Revolution ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 15 items with odds, observed 88.76% over 11 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Steampunk Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Steampunk Revolution A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $4.50 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.76% · 11 openings, odds method Variance · 24.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min -0.5% 198.5% 397.5% **Small sample.** 11 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=7d) | 10 | 91.26% ±305.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89) | 11 | 88.76% ±291.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/89?window=all) | 11 | 88.76% ±291.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $770 770 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 12.3% | $14.94 14.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 41.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× | | [Tec-9 \| Rust Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $11.45 11.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $3.35 3.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 13.3% | $3.19 3.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× | | [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.85 1.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $1.78 1.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Nova \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-factory-new) | 10.5% | $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 11.4% | $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.59× | | [M249 \| Jungle DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.92 0.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [P90 \| Desert DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir Nova \| Mandrel (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-mandrel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P250 \| Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Bleached (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-bleached-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=89`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=89) [MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.85 1.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-08 04:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.92 0.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.94 14.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.99x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) [lilBuGGy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/lilBuGGy) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.35 3.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.85 1.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.19 3.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-07 13:59 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) [Pearso](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Pearso) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-07 05:09 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-07 05:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.85 1.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-07 05:09 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.94 14.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.99x 2026-11-07 05:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 89.99% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% restricted 12.3% Uncommon 3.8% Industrial Grade 19.0% #8847FF 13.3% consumer 5.7% industrial 14.3% #5E98D9 11.4% #B0C3D9 14.3% Consumer Grade 5.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt