--- title: "Nature Beasts case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nature Beasts ($47.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 70.26% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Nature Beasts](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Nature Beasts A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=all) Price · $47.00 · 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $42.30 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.26% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 6.0% 70.3% 134.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=7d) | 8 | 70.26% ±63.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92) | 8 | 70.26% ±63.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/92?window=all) | 8 | 70.26% ±63.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $280 280 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $95.85 95.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 10.3% | $69.52 69.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $68.71 68.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $48.97 48.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $40.28 40.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $34.27 34.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 10.9% | $34.24 34.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $23.99 23.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $17.99 17.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $9.03 9.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $6.90 6.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Surveillance (Minimal Wear) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 155 | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=92`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=92) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $95.85 95.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.04x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.03 9.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-battle-scarred) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.90 6.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $34.27 34.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.73x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) [Necrz25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Necrz25) $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $17.99 17.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-09 07:29 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $95.85 95.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.04x 2026-11-07 10:20 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) [BigD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/BigD) $47.00 47 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 10:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $47.00 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 0.6% covert 26.0% classified 30.3% Classified 7.1% #d32ee6 5.2% pink 14.2% industrial 9.7% #8847ff 3.9% grey 1.9% #B0C3D9 1.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt