---
title: "Cyber Matrix case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cyber Matrix ($332.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cyber Matrix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cyber Matrix

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=all)

Price · $332.00 · 332 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $298.80 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 21.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/95?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $15.5K 15,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 51.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,185 1,185 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $840 840 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $560 560 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 18.0% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 26.0% | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $45.00 45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 29.0% | $28.34 28.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=95`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=95)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $332 | 90.00% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 82.0% Covert 3.0% gold 3.0% extraordinary 3.0% classified 9.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
