---
title: "Arctic Forest case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Arctic Forest ($250.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Arctic Forest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Arctic Forest

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=all)

Price · $250.00 · 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $225.00 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/97?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 10.0% | $991 991 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 44.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $248 248 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $194 194 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $173 173 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $154 154 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $136 136 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $99.00 99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $98.80 98.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $98.40 98.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $89.40 89.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $75.73 75.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $5.97 5.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Choke (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-choke-jungle-green) | 1 in 15 | $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Dead Now (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-jungle-green) | 1 in 28 | $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Contractor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir P250 \| Drought (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Bling (Battle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-bling-battle-green) | 1 in 57 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=97`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=97)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $250 | 90.00% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 30.6% covert knife 40.0% Immortal 8.2% Covert 4.7% restricted 2.9% #B0C3D9 11.8% Consumer Grade 1.2% Common 0.6%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
