--- title: "Steampunk Secrets case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Steampunk Secrets ($200.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Steampunk Secrets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Steampunk Secrets A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=all) Price · $200.00 · 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $180.00 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/98?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $722 722 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $558 558 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $265 265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $240 240 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.6% | $216 216 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $178 178 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $126 126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $109 109 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $96.57 96.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $76.11 76.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $35.91 35.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $11.00 11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Hieroglyph (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-hieroglyph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=98`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=98) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $200 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 23.6% covert knife 47.8% #EB4B4B 4.3% restricted 5.0% Industrial Grade 0.6% #5E98D9 1.9% consumer 9.3% #B0C3D9 7.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt