--- title: "Breakout case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Breakout ($1.79) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.49% over 1,065 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Breakout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1) # [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Breakout A case on CSGOCASES (CS2 cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=all) Price · $1.79 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 112.49% · 1,065 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 946 openings · below min 30 days · 112.49% ±44.65 1,065 openings since tracking started · 112.49% ±44.65 1,065 openings 24.0% 96.0% 168.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=24h) | 3 | 59.22% ±34.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=7d) | 946 | 117.23% ±50.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1) | 1,065 | 112.49% ±44.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/breakout-1?window=all) | 1,065 | 112.49% ±44.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) [G](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/G) $1.79 $255 142.2x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Alex](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Alex) $1.79 $247 138.2x 2026-11-10 11:33 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Tibiy10](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Tibiy10) $1.79 $247 138.2x 2026-11-07 22:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=breakout-1) [UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-minimal-wear) [Click](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Click) $1.79 $0.69 0.39x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) [Pudzian DDL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Pudzian%20DDL) $1.79 $0.80 0.45x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) [BURALARI AYDINLAT HELE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/BURALARI%20AYDINLAT%20HELE) $1.79 $1.69 0.94x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) [I am a Muslim on a Friday](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/I%20am%20a%20Muslim%20on%20a%20Friday) $1.79 $1.77 0.99x 2026-11-10 21:13 UTC [Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-desert-strike-field-tested) [I am a Muslim on a Friday](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/I%20am%20a%20Muslim%20on%20a%20Friday) $1.79 $0.78 0.44x 2026-11-10 21:13 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) [I am a Muslim on a Friday](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/I%20am%20a%20Muslim%20on%20a%20Friday) $1.79 $1.30 0.73x 2026-11-10 21:13 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) [Patrick Jane](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Patrick%20Jane) $1.79 $0.80 0.45x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC [Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-desert-strike-factory-new) [Patrick Jane](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Patrick%20Jane) $1.79 $1.54 0.86x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC [UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-minimal-wear) [Patrick Jane](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Patrick%20Jane) $1.79 $0.69 0.39x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC [Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) [Patrick Jane](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Patrick%20Jane) $1.79 $4.13 2.31x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.79 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $255 (142.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 112.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.49 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt