--- title: "Bright water case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bright water ($1.89) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.08% over 682 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water rendered: 2026-11-11T20:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Bright water](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water) # [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Bright water A case on CSGOCASES (Unique cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=all) Price · $1.89 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.08% · 682 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 98 openings · below min 7 days · 595 openings · below min 30 days · 682 openings · below min since tracking started · 682 openings · below min 59.0% 82.3% 105.5% **Small sample.** 682 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=24h) | 98 | 71.78% ±11.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=7d) | 595 | 82.36% ±22.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water) | 682 | 81.08% ±19.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/bright-water?window=all) | 682 | 81.08% ±19.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) [LielKiNG123](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/LielKiNG123) $1.89 $128 67.62x 2026-11-09 16:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=bright-water) [P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [Toxic CS2SKINS.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Toxic%20CS2SKINS.GIFT) $1.89 $0.86 0.46x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [Toxic CS2SKINS.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Toxic%20CS2SKINS.GIFT) $1.89 $0.96 0.51x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [Toxic CS2SKINS.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Toxic%20CS2SKINS.GIFT) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.96 0.51x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.96 0.51x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $0.74 0.39x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [GOSU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/GOSU) $1.89 $2.35 1.24x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.89 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $128 (67.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.08 on average: an expected loss of $18.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt