---
title: "Crazy case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Crazy ($1.19) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.57% over 1,539 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Crazy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy)

# [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Crazy

A case on CSGOCASES (Special cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=all)

Price · $1.19

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.57% · 1,539 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 94 openings · below min

7 days · 963 openings · below min

30 days · 86.57% ±27.61 1,539 openings

since tracking started · 86.57% ±27.61 1,539 openings

20.0% 67.5% 115.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=24h) | 94 | 36.83% ±16.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=7d) | 963 | 77.29% ±33.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy) | 1,539 | 86.57% ±27.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/crazy?window=all) | 1,539 | 86.57% ±27.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) [Matthheeeew](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Matthheeeew) $1.19 $162 136.4x 2026-11-05 12:36 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [KasLuu\_CS2SKINS.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/KasLuu_CS2SKINS.GIFT) $1.19 $125 104.7x 2026-11-03 17:55 UTC

[MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [tutankamon "CS2SKINS.GIFT"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/tutankamon%20%20%22CS2SKINS.GIFT%22) $1.19 $69.19 58.14x 2026-11-09 21:07 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [Jovke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Jovke) $1.19 $63.18 53.09x 2026-11-04 18:26 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [tutankamon "CS2SKINS.GIFT"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/tutankamon%20%20%22CS2SKINS.GIFT%22) $1.19 $62.10 52.18x 2026-11-09 21:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=crazy)

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:30 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $0.16 0.13x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[MAC-10 | Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $4.48 3.76x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $4.58 3.85x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-field-tested) [arko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/arko) $1.19 $2.66 2.24x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.19 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $162 (136.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.57 on average: an expected loss of $13.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
