--- title: "CS:GO WEAPON case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CS:GO WEAPON ($4.59) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.20% over 182 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [CS:GO WEAPON](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1) # [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · CS:GO WEAPON A case on CSGOCASES (CS2 cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=all) Price · $4.59 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.20% · 182 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 133 openings · below min 30 days · 182 openings · below min since tracking started · 182 openings · below min 1.0% 81.0% 161.0% **Small sample.** 182 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=24h) | 3 | 25.93% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=7d) | 133 | 81.13% ±79.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1) | 182 | 72.20% ±58.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/cs-go-weapon-1?window=all) | 182 | 72.20% ±58.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) [Alex](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Alex) $4.59 $243 52.94x 2026-11-10 11:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=cs-go-weapon-1) [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Click](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Click) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Click](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Click) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [✪ paSSion](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/%E2%9C%AA%20paSSion) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [mircio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/mircio) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [mircio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/mircio) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [mircio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/mircio) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Fallen Bem SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Fallen%20Bem%20SKINS) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Fallen Bem SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Fallen%20Bem%20SKINS) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Fallen Bem SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Fallen%20Bem%20SKINS) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [Dxxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Dxxx) $4.59 $1.19 0.26x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $4.59 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $243 (52.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.20 on average: an expected loss of $27.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt