---
title: "Diablo case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Diablo ($59.99) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.13% over 958 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Diablo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo)

# [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Diablo

A case on CSGOCASES (Special cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=all)

Price · $59.99

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 100.13% · 958 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 168 openings · below min

7 days · 833 openings · below min

30 days · 958 openings · below min

since tracking started · 958 openings · below min

79.0% 96.3% 113.5%

**Small sample.** 958 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=24h) | 168 | 86.90% ±7.31 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=7d) | 833 | 96.90% ±11.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo) | 958 | 100.13% ±12.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo?window=all) | 958 | 100.13% ±12.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) [Nashorxs V2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Nashorxs%20V2) $59.99 $2,562 42.71x 2026-11-04 00:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Kukuś92](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Kuku%C5%9B92) $59.99 $1,573 26.22x 2026-11-04 19:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Lulao](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Lulao) $59.99 $1,566 26.10x 2026-11-05 16:46 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [Fallen de Calcinha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Fallen%20de%20Calcinha) $59.99 $1,478 24.64x 2026-11-05 06:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=diablo)

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [O-RiGINAL M](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/O-RiGINAL%20M) $59.99 $61.49 1.03x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [O-RiGINAL M](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/O-RiGINAL%20M) $59.99 $44.82 0.75x 2026-11-11 08:30 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $38.75 0.65x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $38.75 0.65x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $38.75 0.65x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $44.82 0.75x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $61.49 1.03x 2026-11-11 02:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $138 2.31x 2026-11-11 02:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $38.75 0.65x 2026-11-11 02:36 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [abr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/abr) $59.99 $44.82 0.75x 2026-11-11 02:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $59.99 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,562 (42.71x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.13 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
