--- title: "Knives case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Knives ($84.99) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.73% over 7,430 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives rendered: 2026-11-11T13:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives) # [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Knives A case on CSGOCASES (Quality cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=all) Price · $84.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.73% · 7,430 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 845 openings · below min 7 days · 98.41% ±4.70 6,767 openings 30 days · 97.73% ±4.35 7,430 openings since tracking started · 97.73% ±4.35 7,430 openings 86.5% 98.5% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=24h) | 845 | 98.35% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=7d) | 6,767 | 98.41% ±4.70 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives) | 7,430 | 97.73% ±4.35 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/knives?window=all) | 7,430 | 97.73% ±4.35 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [TajmonTJ #JPZB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/TajmonTJ%20%20%23JPZB) $84.99 $5,063 59.57x 2026-11-09 01:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [WOODYWALKER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/WOODYWALKER) $84.99 $5,063 59.57x 2026-11-04 22:07 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) [YT: VRIXRUST SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/YT%3A%20VRIXRUST%20SKINS) $84.99 $3,780 44.48x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) [USE CODE : dawxzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/USE%20CODE%20%3A%20dawxzz) $84.99 $3,780 44.48x 2026-11-08 13:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Nemo\_Hanzzon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Nemo_Hanzzon) $84.99 $2,977 35.02x 2026-11-10 14:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [KAŞARLARA SELAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/KA%C5%9EARLARA%20SELAM) $84.99 $2,977 35.02x 2026-11-06 21:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [TajmonTJ #JPZB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/TajmonTJ%20%20%23JPZB) $84.99 $2,105 24.77x 2026-11-09 01:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Lulao](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Lulao) $84.99 $2,105 24.77x 2026-11-04 16:34 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) [TajmonTJ #JPZB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/TajmonTJ%20%20%23JPZB) $84.99 $1,917 22.56x 2026-11-09 01:24 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) [WOODYWALKER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/WOODYWALKER) $84.99 $1,917 22.56x 2026-11-06 17:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=knives) [★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Freshparu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Freshparu) $84.99 $52.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) [REF CODE : dawxzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/REF%20CODE%20%3A%20dawxzz) $84.99 $53.60 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) [REF CODE : dawxzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/REF%20CODE%20%3A%20dawxzz) $84.99 $56.12 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) [REF CODE : dawxzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/REF%20CODE%20%3A%20dawxzz) $84.99 $69.03 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $61.76 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $69.71 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $48.60 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $52.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $52.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [botbusken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/botbusken) $84.99 $53.30 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $84.99 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,063 (59.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.73 on average: an expected loss of $2.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt