--- title: "PHOENIX case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "PHOENIX ($1.89) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 120.72% over 225 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [PHOENIX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1) # [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · PHOENIX A case on CSGOCASES (CS2 cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=all) Price · $1.89 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 120.72% · 225 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 23 openings · below min 7 days · 195 openings · below min 30 days · 225 openings · below min since tracking started · 225 openings · below min 40.0% 128.0% 216.0% **Small sample.** 225 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=24h) | 23 | 86.27% ±11.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=7d) | 195 | 128.09% ±87.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1) | 225 | 120.72% ±75.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/phoenix-1?window=all) | 225 | 120.72% ±75.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-field-tested) [G](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/G) $1.89 $165 87.47x 2026-11-09 16:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=phoenix-1) [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [Mofogga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Mofogga) $1.89 $1.15 0.61x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-field-tested) [Mofogga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Mofogga) $1.89 $1.09 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-factory-new) [Mofogga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Mofogga) $1.89 $2.48 1.31x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-factory-new) [Mofogga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Mofogga) $1.89 $2.48 1.31x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-minimal-wear) [Mofogga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Mofogga) $1.89 $1.77 0.94x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-minimal-wear) [goodsoup](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/goodsoup) $1.89 $1.77 0.94x 2026-11-11 20:39 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) [Click](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Click) $1.89 $1.67 0.88x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) [Click](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Click) $1.89 $1.12 0.59x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) [✪ paSSion](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/%E2%9C%AA%20paSSion) $1.89 $1.12 0.59x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) [✪ paSSion](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/%E2%9C%AA%20paSSion) $1.89 $1.67 0.88x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.89 | — | 0 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $165 (87.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 120.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $120.72 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt