---
title: "Restricted case on CSGOCASES: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Restricted ($1.89) on CSGOCASES, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.38% over 2,765 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) / [Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted)

# [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) · Restricted

A case on CSGOCASES (Quality cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=all)

Price · $1.89

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.38% · 2,765 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 331 openings · below min

7 days · 86.88% ±6.72 2,019 openings

30 days · 88.38% ±6.29 2,765 openings

since tracking started · 88.38% ±6.29 2,765 openings

72.0% 89.5% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=24h) | 331 | 89.54% ±17.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=7d) | 2,019 | 86.88% ±6.72 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted) | 2,765 | 88.38% ±6.29 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/restricted?window=all) | 2,765 | 88.38% ±6.29 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgocases&case=restricted)

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [Fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Fred) $1.89 $1.01 0.53x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $1.00 0.53x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $1.01 0.53x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $2.69 1.42x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $0.93 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $0.72 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $1.58 0.84x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [topanskocs2cases.pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/topanskocs2cases.pro) $1.89 $1.19 0.63x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.89 | — | 0 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.38 on average: an expected loss of $11.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
