--- title: "Onyx case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Onyx ($33.22) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.73% over 4,047 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Onyx](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Onyx A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=all) Price · $33.22 · 54.08 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.73% · 4,047 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 332 openings · below min 7 days · 85.29% ±10.56 2,832 openings 30 days · 89.73% ±9.56 4,047 openings since tracking started · 89.73% ±9.56 4,047 openings 35.0% 67.5% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=24h) | 332 | 58.76% ±23.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=7d) | 2,832 | 85.29% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1) | 4,047 | 89.73% ±9.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1?window=all) | 4,047 | 89.73% ±9.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $1,498 2,438 coins 45.08x 2026-11-08 01:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $1,498 2,438 coins 45.08x 2026-11-03 13:53 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $1,498 2,438 coins 45.08x 2026-11-02 23:50 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-08 20:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-08 07:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-06 10:20 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-05 20:56 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-05 15:44 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-03 14:10 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) [Aloof Martian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Aloof%20Martian) $33.22 54.08 coins $978 1,592 coins 29.44x 2026-11-02 21:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=151693ca003dd8b5aedd723d566cd4d1) [M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-battle-scarred) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) [Shreek](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Shreek) $33.22 54.08 coins $80.54 131 coins 2.42x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) [Only Fan$ Cagan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Only%20Fan%24%20Cagan) $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:03 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:36 UTC [MP9 | Featherweight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-battle-scarred) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:36 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins $173 282 coins 5.21x 2026-11-12 05:36 UTC [MP9 | Featherweight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-battle-scarred) [Lukaritosa111](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Lukaritosa111) $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:36 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:33 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-battle-scarred) Hidden $33.22 54.08 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,498 (45.08x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.73 on average: an expected loss of $10.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt