--- title: "Lover Boy case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lover Boy ($3.79) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.26% over 18.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Lover Boy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Lover Boy A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=all) Price · $3.79 · 6.17 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.26% · 18.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 997 openings · below min 7 days · 89.82% ±2.90 10.6K openings 30 days · 89.26% ±2.18 18.2K openings since tracking started · 89.26% ±2.18 18.2K openings 80.0% 87.0% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=24h) | 997 | 87.16% ±6.44 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=7d) | 10.6K | 89.82% ±2.90 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570) | 18.2K | 89.26% ±2.18 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570?window=all) | 18.2K | 89.26% ±2.18 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [FellowHistorian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/FellowHistorian) $3.79 6.17 coins $264 430 coins 69.75x 2026-11-05 15:13 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [AN$ELMI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/AN%24ELMI) $3.79 6.17 coins $214 349 coins 56.57x 2026-11-09 16:11 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $210 342 coins 55.44x 2026-11-04 07:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=272164e519ac26acbb1ac0ab589ed570) [UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-factory-new) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $5.51 8.97 coins 1.45x 2026-11-12 11:17 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) [Kisse666](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Kisse666) $3.79 6.17 coins $2.14 3.49 coins 0.57x 2026-11-12 11:17 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $2.14 3.49 coins 0.57x 2026-11-12 11:17 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-bazooka-pink) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $0.30 0.49 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 11:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $3.68 5.99 coins 0.97x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-bazooka-pink) Hidden $3.79 6.17 coins $0.30 0.49 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-battle-scarred) [sh1ax1s1gla1k1el1fl1lack1rock1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/sh1ax1s1gla1k1el1fl1lack1rock1) $3.79 6.17 coins $3.83 6.24 coins 1.01x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) [sh1ax1s1gla1k1el1fl1lack1rock1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/sh1ax1s1gla1k1el1fl1lack1rock1) $3.79 6.17 coins $2.14 3.49 coins 0.57x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) [gang](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/gang) $3.79 6.17 coins $4.29 6.99 coins 1.13x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-bazooka-pink) [gang](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/gang) $3.79 6.17 coins $0.30 0.49 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 11:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $264 (69.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.26 on average: an expected loss of $10.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt