--- title: "Dream Knife case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dream Knife ($160.73) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.88% over 1,937 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Dream Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Dream Knife A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=all) Price · $160.73 · 262 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.88% · 1,937 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 282 openings · below min 7 days · 81.90% ±16.73 1,153 openings 30 days · 78.88% ±12.85 1,937 openings since tracking started · 78.88% ±12.85 1,937 openings 49.5% 87.8% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=24h) | 282 | 87.88% ±37.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=7d) | 1,153 | 81.90% ±16.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6) | 1,937 | 78.88% ±12.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6?window=all) | 1,937 | 78.88% ±12.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $161 262 coins $5,484 8,928 coins 34.12x 2026-11-12 04:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $161 262 coins $5,484 8,928 coins 34.12x 2026-11-03 17:28 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $161 262 coins $5,484 8,928 coins 34.12x 2026-11-03 14:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $161 262 coins $4,109 6,689 coins 25.56x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [李昱李昱不要來](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/%E6%9D%8E%E6%98%B1%E6%9D%8E%E6%98%B1%E4%B8%8D%E8%A6%81%E4%BE%86) $161 262 coins $4,109 6,689 coins 25.56x 2026-11-07 04:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $161 262 coins $4,109 6,689 coins 25.56x 2026-11-06 09:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [guppieonetwoseven](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/guppieonetwoseven) $161 262 coins $4,109 6,689 coins 25.56x 2026-11-05 19:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $161 262 coins $4,109 6,689 coins 25.56x 2026-11-03 14:16 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $161 262 coins $3,151 5,130 coins 19.60x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $161 262 coins $3,151 5,130 coins 19.60x 2026-11-07 10:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=519466f13bb0deb24ad7f1b53dc534f6) [P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-battle-scarred) Hidden $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:28 UTC [MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-minimal-wear) Hidden $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:28 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $161 262 coins $706 1,149 coins 4.39x 2026-11-12 11:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [MU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MU) $161 262 coins $2,080 3,386 coins 12.94x 2026-11-12 11:28 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $161 262 coins $706 1,149 coins 4.39x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-battle-scarred) Hidden $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-minimal-wear) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $161 262 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $161 262 coins $882 1,436 coins 5.49x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,484 (34.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.88 on average: an expected loss of $21.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt