--- title: "Faded case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Faded ($30.67) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.68% over 10.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Faded](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Faded A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=all) Price · $30.67 · 49.93 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.68% · 10.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 981 openings · below min 7 days · 88.84% ±10.91 6,637 openings 30 days · 87.68% ±8.31 10.1K openings since tracking started · 87.68% ±8.31 10.1K openings 77.5% 112.5% 147.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=24h) | 981 | 112.56% ±34.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=7d) | 6,637 | 88.84% ±10.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972) | 10.1K | 87.68% ±8.31 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972?window=all) | 10.1K | 87.68% ±8.31 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Al3X086](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Al3X086) $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-08 19:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Bahuyabah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Bahuyabah) $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-08 14:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [sticka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/sticka) $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-06 21:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-05 20:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $2,937 4,781 coins 95.75x 2026-11-03 19:58 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $1,499 2,440 coins 48.87x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=5ee797ed26193293cc34f67fc174c972) [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) [JakeTheDawg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/JakeTheDawg) $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:02 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) [A Tèo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/A%20T%C3%A8o) $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:02 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:02 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:02 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:53 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-well-worn) [A Tèo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/A%20T%C3%A8o) $30.67 49.93 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,937 (95.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.68 on average: an expected loss of $12.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt