--- title: "Old Steel case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Old Steel ($1.83) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.61% over 15.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce rendered: 2026-11-12T09:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Old Steel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Old Steel A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=all) Price · $1.83 · 2.98 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.61% · 15.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.11% ±10.81 1,495 openings 7 days · 91.33% ±6.86 10.1K openings 30 days · 89.61% ±5.12 15.7K openings since tracking started · 89.61% ±5.12 15.7K openings 75.5% 87.3% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=24h) | 1,495 | 87.11% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=7d) | 10.1K | 91.33% ±6.86 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce) | 15.7K | 89.61% ±5.12 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce?window=all) | 15.7K | 89.61% ±5.12 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-08 14:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-07 17:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-07 13:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-06 10:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-05 16:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-05 12:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $183 298 coins 99.86x 2026-11-03 14:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $91.63 149 coins 50.06x 2026-11-10 09:13 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $91.63 149 coins 50.06x 2026-11-09 18:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=5f9115a0280d8f67e8e294ee88ad05ce) [StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $8.02 13.06 coins 4.38x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC [FAMAS | Hexane (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-well-worn) [Namnh3110](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Namnh3110) $1.83 2.98 coins $2.75 4.47 coins 1.50x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $2.38 3.87 coins 1.30x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-well-worn) [Heo Lí Sà](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Heo%20L%C3%AD%20S%C3%A0) $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-well-worn) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [FAMAS | Hexane (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-well-worn) [︻芫一一 GHOST](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/%EF%B8%BB%E8%8A%AB%E4%B8%80%E4%B8%80%20GHOST) $1.83 2.98 coins $2.75 4.47 coins 1.50x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $1.83 2.98 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $183 (99.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.61 on average: an expected loss of $10.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt