--- title: "Lightning case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lightning ($8.22) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.00% over 20.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Lightning](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Lightning A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=all) Price · $8.22 · 13.38 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.00% · 20.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.45% ±7.75 1,582 openings 7 days · 90.12% ±3.34 15.3K openings 30 days · 91.00% ±3.12 20.2K openings since tracking started · 91.00% ±3.12 20.2K openings 83.0% 91.5% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=24h) | 1,582 | 91.45% ±7.75 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=7d) | 15.3K | 90.12% ±3.34 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79) | 20.2K | 91.00% ±3.12 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79?window=all) | 20.2K | 91.00% ±3.12 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [Obi Wan Can Blow Me](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Obi%20Wan%20Can%20Blow%20Me) $8.22 13.38 coins $742 1,208 coins 90.32x 2026-11-08 19:22 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $742 1,208 coins 90.32x 2026-11-06 23:33 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $742 1,208 coins 90.32x 2026-11-06 16:10 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $742 1,208 coins 90.32x 2026-11-05 08:26 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [elsösegéj csomag](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/els%C3%B6seg%C3%A9j%20csomag) $8.22 13.38 coins $742 1,208 coins 90.32x 2026-11-03 22:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=74e781296a34bfe865a1be0d9ae8ae79) [Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $19.11 31.11 coins 2.33x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) [Kisse666](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Kisse666) $8.22 13.38 coins $19.11 31.11 coins 2.33x 2026-11-12 11:10 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $10.69 17.41 coins 1.30x 2026-11-12 11:09 UTC [USP-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Kisse666](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Kisse666) $8.22 13.38 coins $9.37 15.25 coins 1.14x 2026-11-12 11:09 UTC [CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $16.77 27.3 coins 2.04x 2026-11-12 11:07 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $43.02 70.03 coins 5.23x 2026-11-12 11:07 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [Kisse666](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Kisse666) $8.22 13.38 coins $10.69 17.41 coins 1.30x 2026-11-12 11:07 UTC [M249 | Downtown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:57 UTC [M249 | Downtown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:57 UTC [M249 | Downtown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.22 13.38 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $742 (90.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.00 on average: an expected loss of $9.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt