--- title: "Match Surrendered case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Match Surrendered ($20.27) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.49% over 4,320 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74 rendered: 2026-11-12T06:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Match Surrendered](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Match Surrendered A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=all) Price · $20.27 · 33 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.49% · 4,320 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 475 openings · below min 7 days · 87.59% ±6.15 3,058 openings 30 days · 92.49% ±5.80 4,320 openings since tracking started · 92.49% ±5.80 4,320 openings 61.0% 80.0% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=24h) | 475 | 76.56% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=7d) | 3,058 | 87.59% ±6.15 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74) | 4,320 | 92.49% ±5.80 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74?window=all) | 4,320 | 92.49% ±5.80 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Fr\*nch Flag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fr-nch-flag) [eliteking](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/eliteking) $20.27 33 coins $1,034 1,683 coins 51.00x 2026-11-03 06:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=7b649afb453a717f76acce3d98fe1b74) [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) Hidden $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) [Hamidsjefen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Hamidsjefen) $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) Hidden $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:44 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) Hidden $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:44 UTC [FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.27 33 coins $33.29 54.19 coins 1.64x 2026-11-12 05:16 UTC [FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.27 33 coins $33.29 54.19 coins 1.64x 2026-11-12 05:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) [Lukaritosa111](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Lukaritosa111) $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) Hidden $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) Hidden $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-puke-shark-white) [Lukaritosa111](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Lukaritosa111) $20.27 33 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,034 (51.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.49 on average: an expected loss of $7.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt