--- title: "Mystery Knife case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mystery Knife ($25.38) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.75% over 10.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Mystery Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Mystery Knife A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=all) Price · $25.38 · 41.32 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.75% · 10.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 970 openings · below min 7 days · 89.63% ±11.18 7,261 openings 30 days · 89.75% ±9.01 10.3K openings since tracking started · 89.75% ±9.01 10.3K openings 68.5% 100.0% 131.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=24h) | 970 | 100.11% ±31.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=7d) | 7,261 | 89.63% ±11.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9) | 10.3K | 89.75% ±9.01 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9?window=all) | 10.3K | 89.75% ±9.01 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Spinerok](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Spinerok) $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Al3X086](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Al3X086) $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-08 19:10 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [MorbidAngel](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MorbidAngel) $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-08 19:09 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [S1peed](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/S1peed) $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-08 12:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-08 01:29 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-06 23:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-06 02:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-05 13:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $2,752 4,480 coins 108.4x 2026-11-04 00:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=7d289fdca222b399bf0b40a71206a5f9) [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) [Only Fan$ Cagan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Only%20Fan%24%20Cagan) $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) [Only Fan$ Cagan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Only%20Fan%24%20Cagan) $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) [Beo'](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Beo') $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) [Beo'](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Beo') $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:13 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-x-knives-brick-red) Hidden $25.38 41.32 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,752 (108.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.75 on average: an expected loss of $10.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt