--- title: "Moonshot case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Moonshot ($364.83) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.88% over 357 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa rendered: 2026-11-12T04:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Moonshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Moonshot A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=all) Price · $364.83 · 594 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.88% · 357 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 246 openings · below min 30 days · 357 openings · below min since tracking started · 357 openings · below min 38.5% 84.5% 130.5% **Small sample.** 357 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=24h) | 60 | 84.63% ±45.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=7d) | 246 | 86.64% ±21.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa) | 357 | 82.88% ±16.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa?window=all) | 357 | 82.88% ±16.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $365 594 coins $4,428 7,209 coins 12.14x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [haZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/haZ) $365 594 coins $4,428 7,209 coins 12.14x 2026-11-06 10:39 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $365 594 coins $4,428 7,209 coins 12.14x 2026-11-06 07:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $365 594 coins $2,841 4,626 coins 7.79x 2026-11-09 08:25 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $365 594 coins $2,841 4,626 coins 7.79x 2026-11-06 07:32 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Ludwig](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Ludwig) $365 594 coins $2,841 4,626 coins 7.79x 2026-11-05 16:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $365 594 coins $2,030 3,304 coins 5.56x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $365 594 coins $2,030 3,304 coins 5.56x 2026-11-04 17:50 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [haZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/haZ) $365 594 coins $2,030 3,304 coins 5.56x 2026-11-04 15:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $365 594 coins $2,030 3,304 coins 5.56x 2026-11-04 14:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=9194d7389bf1cb5fd3ce4eb7d3a5fbfa) [Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-well-worn) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $365 594 coins $738 1,201 coins 2.02x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [mygame](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/mygame) $365 594 coins $480 781 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [mygame](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/mygame) $365 594 coins $406 661 coins 1.11x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) [mygame](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/mygame) $365 594 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) Hidden $365 594 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,428 (12.14x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.88 on average: an expected loss of $17.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt