--- title: "CT Upgrade case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CT Upgrade ($4.75) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.06% over 15K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea rendered: 2026-11-12T06:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [CT Upgrade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · CT Upgrade A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=all) Price · $4.75 · 7.73 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.06% · 15K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.27% ±6.97 1,536 openings 7 days · 92.99% ±5.03 10.7K openings 30 days · 92.06% ±3.92 15K openings since tracking started · 92.06% ±3.92 15K openings 75.5% 87.0% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=24h) | 1,536 | 83.27% ±6.97 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=7d) | 10.7K | 92.99% ±5.03 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea) | 15K | 92.06% ±3.92 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea?window=all) | 15K | 92.06% ±3.92 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Kitty\_Meow \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Kitty_Meow%20%3C3) $4.75 7.73 coins $540 879 coins 113.7x 2026-11-08 15:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Fryjoooy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Fryjoooy) $4.75 7.73 coins $540 879 coins 113.7x 2026-11-07 17:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $540 879 coins 113.7x 2026-11-07 09:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=95b86d0a7add44b22883ecd88b4dfdea) [Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $0.44 0.72 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $11.49 18.71 coins 2.42x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [MAG-7 | Seabird (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-seabird-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $3.18 5.17 coins 0.67x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $7.75 12.61 coins 1.63x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $0.44 0.72 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $0.44 0.72 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-battle-scarred) [VacaMito](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/VacaMito) $4.75 7.73 coins $0.88 1.43 coins 0.18x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-battle-scarred) [VacaMito](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/VacaMito) $4.75 7.73 coins $0.88 1.43 coins 0.18x 2026-11-12 06:34 UTC [Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-grassland-factory-new) Hidden $4.75 7.73 coins $0.44 0.72 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC [AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) [authenticator315](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/authenticator315) $4.75 7.73 coins $7.29 11.87 coins 1.54x 2026-11-12 06:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $540 (113.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.06 on average: an expected loss of $7.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt