--- title: "Butterfly Effect case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Butterfly Effect ($67.59) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.48% over 2,573 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Butterfly Effect](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Butterfly Effect A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=all) Price · $67.59 · 110 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.48% · 2,573 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 163 openings · below min 7 days · 91.20% ±3.33 1,685 openings 30 days · 91.48% ±2.79 2,573 openings since tracking started · 91.48% ±2.79 2,573 openings 82.5% 91.8% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=24h) | 163 | 91.66% ±8.45 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=7d) | 1,685 | 91.20% ±3.33 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895) | 2,573 | 91.48% ±2.79 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895?window=all) | 2,573 | 91.48% ±2.79 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $921 1,499 coins 13.62x 2026-11-10 05:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $921 1,499 coins 13.62x 2026-11-08 23:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Bahuyabah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Bahuyabah) $67.59 110 coins $921 1,499 coins 13.62x 2026-11-03 13:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-field-tested) [AK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/AK) $67.59 110 coins $614 1,000 coins 9.09x 2026-11-04 20:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $551 897 coins 8.15x 2026-11-08 16:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $67.59 110 coins $551 897 coins 8.15x 2026-11-03 00:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=a00eb4e0e430d79dd29a2c6d92711895) [★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $91.93 150 coins 1.36x 2026-11-12 03:21 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $97.42 159 coins 1.44x 2026-11-12 03:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $66.68 109 coins 0.99x 2026-11-12 03:21 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $67.59 110 coins $6.14 10 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:21 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $78.90 128 coins 1.17x 2026-11-12 02:54 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $6.14 10 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 02:54 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $91.93 150 coins 1.36x 2026-11-12 02:54 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $67.59 110 coins $84.68 138 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 02:54 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $97.42 159 coins 1.44x 2026-11-12 02:25 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) Hidden $67.59 110 coins $6.14 10 coins 0.09x 2026-11-12 02:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $921 (13.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.48 on average: an expected loss of $8.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt