---
title: "Navaja Ninja case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Navaja Ninja ($4.36) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.31% over 12.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Navaja Ninja](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Navaja Ninja

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=all)

Price · $4.36 · 7.1 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.31% · 12.9K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 944 openings · below min

7 days · 90.61% ±3.97 8,283 openings

30 days · 92.31% ±3.70 12.9K openings

since tracking started · 92.31% ±3.70 12.9K openings

76.5% 95.2% 114.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=24h) | 944 | 95.25% ±18.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=7d) | 8,283 | 90.61% ±3.97 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f) | 12.9K | 92.31% ±3.70 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f?window=all) | 12.9K | 92.31% ±3.70 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [HOLMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/HOLMA) $4.36 7.1 coins $344 561 coins 78.97x 2026-11-11 19:19 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins $344 561 coins 78.97x 2026-11-06 21:54 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins $344 561 coins 78.97x 2026-11-04 06:44 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins $344 561 coins 78.97x 2026-11-03 23:04 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Miki](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Miki) $4.36 7.1 coins $344 561 coins 78.97x 2026-11-03 11:15 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=ad22ec493d0621679af753ac5817ad4f)

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) [shajn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/shajn) $4.36 7.1 coins $11.41 18.57 coins 2.62x 2026-11-12 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) [staejae](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/staejae) $4.36 7.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:08 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-well-worn) [37](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/37) $4.36 7.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) [staejae](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/staejae) $4.36 7.1 coins $6.89 11.21 coins 1.58x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC

[M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) [Spice](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Spice) $4.36 7.1 coins $5.81 9.46 coins 1.33x 2026-11-12 15:05 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) [staejae](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/staejae) $4.36 7.1 coins $6.89 11.21 coins 1.58x 2026-11-12 15:05 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-well-worn) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:01 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) [Otto Tuoni](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Otto%20Tuoni) $4.36 7.1 coins $6.89 11.21 coins 1.58x 2026-11-12 15:01 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-well-worn) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:01 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-well-worn) Hidden $4.36 7.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $344 (78.97x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.31 on average: an expected loss of $7.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
