--- title: "Airport Incident case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Airport Incident ($14.78) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident rendered: 2026-11-12T08:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Airport Incident](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Airport Incident A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=all) Price · $14.78 · 24.06 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $13.48 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 16.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/airport-incident?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Burger King Crown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-crown) | 1 in 50,000 | $8,129 13,233 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 11,236 | $2,808 4,571 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 1,536 | $769 1,251 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 318 | $392 638 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $266 433 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $152 248 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Business Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $66.51 108 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $47.29 76.99 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $41.38 67.37 coins | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $41.32 67.27 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $18.18 29.59 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $17.73 28.87 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $16.26 26.47 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Deported other](https://gambatracker.com/items/deported) | 70.0% | $0 0 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 12 Nov, 03:51 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=airport-incident) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $14.78 | 91.21% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 70.0% covert 8.0% classified 16.7% pink 0.3% restricted 0.6% mil spec 1.8% rare 2.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt