---
title: "Amethyst Gem case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Amethyst Gem ($25.19) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 15 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Amethyst Gem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Amethyst Gem

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=all)

Price · $25.19 · 41 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $22.97 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/amethyst-gem?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,288 3,725 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,230 2,002 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 714 | $418 681 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 106 | $295 481 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $189 308 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $135 220 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $76.26 124 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $59.04 96.12 coins | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 24 | $49.20 80.1 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $36.90 60.07 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $31.98 52.06 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $27.06 44.05 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Sunbaked (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=amethyst-gem)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $25.19 | 91.20% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 22.5% classified 1.8% restricted 6.5% red 9.2% #4b69ff 40.0% consumer 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
