--- title: "Assault case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Assault ($26.58) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 21 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Assault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Assault A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=all) Price · $26.58 · 43.27 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $24.24 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,344 2,187 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $810 1,319 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $805 1,310 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $726 1,182 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $491 799 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $366 595 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $243 396 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $221 360 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $171 278 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 565 | $97.15 158 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 284 | $61.02 99.33 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $49.10 79.93 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $40.84 66.48 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $38.80 63.16 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $35.90 58.44 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 13.2% | $33.80 55.02 coins | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $31.91 51.94 coins | 21.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $26.96 43.89 coins | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $16.70 27.18 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $7.37 11.99 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) | 19.7% | $2.53 4.12 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=assault) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $26.58 | 91.21% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 12.1% extraordinary 0.1% covert 45.2% rare 0.0% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.2% Covert 1.4% Ancient 5.3% mil spec 16.0% Restricted 19.7% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt