---
title: "Barbarian case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Barbarian ($7,984.41) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 9 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Barbarian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Barbarian

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=all)

Price · $7,984.41 · 12,998 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $7,281.78 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/barbarian?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $154K 249,982 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo) | 1 in 56 | $71.8K 116,875 coins | 17.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo) | 1 in 22 | $34.6K 56,249 coins | 22.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $19.4K 31,625 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 13 | $15K 24,376 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $10.8K 17,502 coins | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 14.3% | $5,759 9,376 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| ropz (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-gold) | 18.1% | $2,687 4,375 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=barbarian)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $7,984 | 91.20% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% other 24.5% classified 5.3% covert 21.7% extraordinary 8.4% restricted 40.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
