---
title: "Birds Of Prey case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Birds Of Prey ($65.11) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 17 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey
rendered: 2026-11-13T04:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Birds Of Prey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Birds Of Prey

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=all)

Price · $65.11 · 106 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $59.39 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/birds-of-prey?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,111 8,320 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,300 3,744 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 714 | $920 1,498 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $703 1,144 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $569 926 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $434 707 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 119 | $313 509 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $223 364 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $169 276 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $147 239 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $121 198 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $109 177 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $86.24 140 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $73.43 120 coins | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $67.07 109 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Graffiti \| Hop (Brick Red) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/graffiti-hop-brick-red) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Graffiti \| Take Flight (Brick Red) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/graffiti-take-flight-brick-red) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 13 Nov, 02:19 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=birds-of-prey)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $65.11 | 91.20% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 39.1% Covert 0.2% covert knife 0.8% restricted 9.9% other 50.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt