--- title: "Blood Moon case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blood Moon ($9.81) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.18% from 21 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon rendered: 2026-11-11T22:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Blood Moon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Blood Moon A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=all) Price · $9.81 · 15.97 coins Advertised RTP · 91.18% · EV $8.95 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blood-moon?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $957 1,557 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $842 1,371 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $304 495 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $184 299 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $167 272 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $136 222 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $82.71 135 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $81.13 132 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $62.51 102 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 541 | $36.36 59.19 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $18.11 29.48 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $15.52 25.26 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.86 24.19 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $14.07 22.9 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $12.73 20.73 coins | 18.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $12.48 20.31 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $11.89 19.36 coins | 22.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 15.0% | $10.14 16.5 coins | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 10.5% | $6.44 10.49 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.66 2.7 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 17.0% | $0.18 0.29 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=blood-moon) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $9.81 | 91.18% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% Extraordinary 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.0% covert 0.3% Classified 0.0% #eb4b4b 1.5% Mythical 3.5% mil spec 5.0% restricted 24.1% industrial 13.0% red 15.0% classified 10.5% Restricted 10.0% Rare 17.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.18 on average: an expected loss of $8.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt