--- title: "Blue Haven case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Haven ($59.71) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 19 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Blue Haven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Blue Haven A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=all) Price · $59.71 · 97.21 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $54.46 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/blue-haven?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,918 4,750 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 714 | $1,288 2,097 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $936 1,523 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 345 | $729 1,188 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $642 1,045 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $528 860 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 133 | $409 665 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $321 523 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $239 389 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 59 | $228 371 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 40 | $214 348 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $175 284 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $146 238 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $96.28 157 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $90.47 147 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $70.40 115 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-well-worn) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=blue-haven) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $59.71 | 91.20% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 17.2% classified 7.4% extraordinary 3.9% gold 1.4% milspec 45.0% blue 25.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt