---
title: "Box Cutter case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Box Cutter ($6.93) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.17% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Box Cutter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Box Cutter

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=all)

Price · $6.93 · 11.28 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.17% · EV $6.32 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/box-cutter?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 2,000 | $453 737 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $250 407 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $179 291 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $106 173 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $87.18 142 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $64.13 104 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $35.81 58.29 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $30.31 49.35 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $24.61 40.07 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $21.21 34.53 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $15.50 25.24 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $11.41 18.57 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $9.45 15.39 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-inlay-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-field-tested) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=box-cutter)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $6.93 | 91.17% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.5% covert 11.5% covert knife 0.5% extraordinary 1.7% classified 2.6% restricted 3.3% consumer 55.0% Mil Spec Grade 25.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.17 on average: an expected loss of $8.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt