--- title: "Butcher case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Butcher ($13.36) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 23 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher rendered: 2026-11-11T17:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Butcher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Butcher A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=all) Price · $13.36 · 21.75 coins Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $12.18 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/butcher?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,027 1,672 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $697 1,135 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $646 1,052 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $612 996 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $491 799 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $368 599 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $245 398 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $184 300 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $123 200 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $111 180 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,266 | $85.88 140 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 556 | $49.06 79.87 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $30.65 49.89 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $24.57 40 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $20.70 33.7 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $19.03 30.98 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $18.42 29.98 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 16.6% | $15.91 25.9 coins | 21.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 14.0% | $15.74 25.62 coins | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 13.5% | $13.51 21.99 coins | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 10.3% | $8.46 13.78 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.58 5.83 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-factory-new) | 18.5% | $1.22 1.99 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=butcher) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $13.36 | 91.19% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.1% extraordinary 0.1% Classified 0.0% classified 30.6% Legendary 12.5% mil spec 14.0% Mil Spec Grade 13.5% Industrial Grade 8.7% blue 18.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt