--- title: "Expensive Knives case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Expensive Knives ($596.33) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.64% over 119 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7 rendered: 2026-11-12T03:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Expensive Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Expensive Knives A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=all) Price · $596.33 · 971 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.64% · 119 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 70 openings · below min 30 days · 119 openings · below min since tracking started · 119 openings · below min 42.5% 71.0% 99.5% **Small sample.** 119 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=24h) | 4 | 61.36% ±18.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=7d) | 70 | 78.34% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7) | 119 | 87.64% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7?window=all) | 119 | 87.64% ±11.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $2,919 4,751 coins 4.89x 2026-11-03 19:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $596 971 coins $1,871 3,046 coins 3.14x 2026-11-10 22:03 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $1,520 2,475 coins 2.55x 2026-11-03 11:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $1,169 1,904 coins 1.96x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [MB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MB) $596 971 coins $1,169 1,904 coins 1.96x 2026-11-11 01:31 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $1,169 1,904 coins 1.96x 2026-11-04 13:24 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [MB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MB) $596 971 coins $963 1,568 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $596 971 coins $963 1,568 coins 1.61x 2026-11-06 22:58 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $596 971 coins $963 1,568 coins 1.61x 2026-11-03 14:05 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Tex26](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Tex26) $596 971 coins $963 1,568 coins 1.61x 2026-11-03 14:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=ca21ff45cb6c490cd2462e57c7f5c4e7) [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $321 523 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $596 971 coins $239 389 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $596 971 coins $406 661 coins 0.68x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) [Julekage\<3 PT I LIVGARDEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Julekage%3C3%20PT%20I%20LIVGARDEN) $596 971 coins $497 810 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $613 998 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $1,169 1,904 coins 1.96x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [MB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MB) $596 971 coins $963 1,568 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $596 971 coins $613 998 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 01:31 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $596 971 coins $705 1,147 coins 1.18x 2026-11-11 01:31 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $596 971 coins $239 389 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 01:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,919 (4.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.64 on average: an expected loss of $12.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt