--- title: "Cheap Knives case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap Knives ($109.66) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives rendered: 2026-11-11T21:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Cheap Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Cheap Knives A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=all) Price · $109.66 · 179 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $100.01 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cheap-knives?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,721 2,802 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,021 1,662 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $699 1,138 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $538 875 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $344 561 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $280 456 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $216 351 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $177 289 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $156 254 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $129 210 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $113 184 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $91.37 149 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 10.3% | $75.32 123 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 12.0% | $59.10 96.21 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 13.5% | $43.09 70.15 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 16.5% | $32.24 52.48 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=cheap-knives) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $110 | 91.20% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 52.8% rare 9.0% covert knife 9.8% Covert 12.0% Immortal 16.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt